There is one major question dominating the box office: Will the audience smile or will they be liling?
Sony’s “Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile” was hoping to contend for the number one spot at the box office this weekend, though it looks like the family comedy won’t be able to outpace Paramount’s second weekend of horror smash.smiling. Meanwhile, twentieth century studiosAmsterdamHe blows up on his debut, and aims to finish in third.
“Lyle, Lyle” grossed an opening day of $3.47 million and was shown at 4,350 locations. While this isn’t exactly an impressive debut on paper, the majority of the musical’s ticket sales will come with family audiences attending Saturday, Sunday and Monday Aboriginal Peoples Day performances, which will keep a good portion of the kids out of school.
Sony expects the weekend total to be between $12 million and $13.5 million for the musical, which is funded by TSG Entertainment. To compare to another recent movie about a misunderstood but affectionate animal, that’s $16.6 million less than Paramount’s opening “Clifford the Big Red Dog” last November — which premiered simultaneously on Paramount+.
With a production budget of $50 million, “Lyle” hopes to make a big boost in her debut to get her kicks in the mouth. There isn’t much competition for family fans until October, except for the PG-13 DC Comics show “Black Adam.”
“Lyle” has an average approval rating of 57% from top critics on review aggregator Rotten Tomatoes, while diverse Chief Film Critic Owen Gilberman He wrote that “the spirit of the tale is unmatched by the narration.” But a favorable “A-” score by research firm CinemaScore shows audiences are more responsive.
Based on the beloved children’s book by Bernard Waber, “Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile” follows a friendly CGI reptile with a bad case of fear on stage, with the voice of Grammy Award-nominated artist Shawn Mendes. The film also stars Constance Wu, Scott McEnery, and Winslow Fegley as the hospitable Brim family, as well as Javier Bardem as Hector B Valente, Lyle’s deceptive and somewhat troubled mentor.
Meanwhile, the other new wide release “Amsterdam” from director David O. Russell, does not generate the clamor that a large talent lineup might suggest. The 20th Century Studios release took in $2.6 million from 3,005 theaters on Friday. Opening estimates are now $7 million, but expectations were headed toward $10 million as the weekend approached and hit $20 million last month.
In a theatrical landscape still regrouping through COVID-19 lockdowns, box office expectations for adult dramas have been more forgiving. But it’s hard to wear this as anything other than the bleak start of “Amsterdam”. The New Regency co-financed the massive $80 million production budget, while Disney spent much of the change on milestone events and marketing.
Critical approval is usually a key factor in raising the financial prospects for a prestigious product like “Amsterdam”, but reviews have been largely unfriendly. The film currently has an approval rating of 35% from top critics on Rotten Tomatoes – a low rating for the Academy’s beloved Russell (with the exception of “Accidental Love”). A slightly positive “B” in CinemaScore probably won’t move the needle much.
Amsterdam has a packed cast that includes Christian Bale, Margot Robbie, John David Washington, Chris Rock, Anya Taylor-Joy, Taylor Swift, Michael Shannon, Zoe Saldana, Mike Myers, Robert De Niro and Rami Malek. A new ballpark farce follows a group of friends who are involved in the murder of a Senator in the 1930s.
Paramount’s “Smile” continues to appear in its second weekend, predicting a meager 26% drop from its $22 million opening. This would be an amazing commentary for any wide release, let alone a horror movie – genre entries typically falter over 50% on their sophomore outings.
Some competitors are even more optimistic this weekend with “Smile” forecasts, expecting a windfall of up to $18 million. Paramount is still a bit conservative, estimating a total of $16.8 million. Either number should be enough to repeat the film as No. 1 at the domestic box office.
“Smile” should expand its domestic revenue to $49 million as of Sunday. This is an astonishing number considering the production budget of $17 million. Paramount weighed in on a streaming version of the movie, but chose to be theatrical after strong performances. The horror movie will compete against Universal’s final Halloween event next weekend, but this second strong showing suggests “Smile” should have some spooky power to survive until October.
And Sony’s “The Woman King” holds another strong stake, forecasting $5.24 million at the weekend versus a 24% drop in its fourth week. Viola Davis’ historical epic has been continually reeling since its September debut. Domestic sales should reach $54 million through Sunday.
Warner Bros. Don’t Worry Baby is looking to get close to the top five, forecasting a 49% drop in its third weekend for a total of $3.4 million. After an impressive $19 million debut, “Darling” didn’t have the strongest staying power. The psychological thriller should expand gross domestic product to $38 million over the weekend.
In the limited edition scene, “Tár” opens in four locations across New York and Los Angeles. The overall drama, which stars Cate Blanchett as a towering and controversial musician, earned $64,000 on Friday, representing $16,000 per theater. After a triumphant debut at the Venice Film Festival, the wave of critical admiration for Tar has only increased in the past month. The drama Todd Field directs seems to be making its mark on Oscar season, especially in the best actress field.