Silver prices are outperforming gold. This is a good sign for the global economy.

It gained several industrial metals including silver as Covid-related restrictions eased in China. Andrey Rudakov/Bloomberg font size silver had sharply outgrown gold gains in the past three months, and its classification as both an industrial and precious metal could lead it down a path of higher prices. From Oct. 31 to Jan. 31, Comex silver … Read more

US GDP indicates that the economy is not as strong as it seems. When do you worry about stocks?

The Fed tries to control inflation without hurting the economy. Above, the Federal Reserve Bank Building in Washington, DC Stephanie Reynolds/AFP via Getty Images font size Many people take advantage of the new year for a fresh start. The market certainly did: After a painful 2022, it was Standard & Poor’s 500 It jumped 5.5% … Read more

This indicator of recession is approaching the point of no return. But stocks historically rise if the Fed cuts and the economy continues to grow.

It’s too early to announce the Goldilocks environment, even if the major asset classes at least point to a better opportunity for it. S&P 500 SPX Index Gained 5% this year, the high-tech Nasdaq Composite COMP It rose 8%, even with a seemingly daily influx of job cut announcements. Stay tuned on Thursday for a … Read more

The money supply contracted for the first time. What does stagnation mean.

font size The Fed raised interest rates seven times in the past year. Andy Jacobson/AFP/Getty Images The Federal Reserve faces a very important decision in the coming weeks. Markets expect the central bank to raise interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point, marking a significant slowdown in the pace of history-making increases. If … Read more

A summer of sovereign debt crises may come. Is the Fed ready?

font size Desmond Lachman writes that conditions in the US were already sufficient to justify a halt to the Fed’s rate hike. Kevin Deitch/Getty Images About the author: Desmond Lachman He is a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute. He was Deputy Director of the Policy Development and Review Department at the International Monetary … Read more

Inflation is not the biggest problem in the stock market right now. deflation is.

font size Tesla cut the prices of some of its vehicles by as much as 20% last week as inventory piled up and order prices plummeted. Brandon Bell/Getty Images High intergenerational inflation It was the story of 2022. This will not be the story of 2023. The bogeyman of negating inflation — and even some … Read more